Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 0.029679 0.031939 0.034203 0.036639 0.039182 0.041754 0.044550
2025-10-26 0.025940 0.029553 0.033297 0.037454 0.041924 0.046573 0.051760
2025-11-02 0.023162 0.027577 0.032273 0.037608 0.043468 0.049680 0.056734
2025-11-09 0.020943 0.025913 0.031319 0.037580 0.044578 0.052110 0.060781
2025-11-16 0.019108 0.024494 0.030469 0.037510 0.045499 0.054211 0.064357
2025-11-23 0.017464 0.023155 0.029591 0.037295 0.046159 0.055936 0.067440
2025-11-30 0.016108 0.022052 0.028895 0.037207 0.046889 0.057681 0.070493
2025-12-07 0.014639 0.020719 0.027848 0.036636 0.046998 0.058666 0.072639
2025-12-14 0.013271 0.019427 0.026777 0.035969 0.046937 0.059408 0.074466
2025-12-21 0.011971 0.018142 0.025649 0.035173 0.046671 0.059869 0.075930
2025-12-28 0.011528 0.017920 0.025801 0.035902 0.048198 0.062403 0.079785
2026-01-04 0.010829 0.017324 0.025454 0.035994 0.048939 0.064001 0.082540
2026-01-11 0.010052 0.016626 0.025000 0.035994 0.049633 0.065628 0.085441
2026-01-18 0.009646 0.016417 0.025168 0.036781 0.051308 0.068452 0.089799
2026-01-25 0.009013 0.015856 0.024851 0.036933 0.052184 0.070311 0.093012
2026-02-01 0.008362 0.015230 0.024416 0.036905 0.052817 0.071863 0.095849
2026-02-08 0.007748 0.014618 0.023968 0.036836 0.053378 0.073313 0.098556
2026-02-15 0.007131 0.013963 0.023431 0.036624 0.053738 0.074504 0.100940
2026-02-22 0.006604 0.013409 0.023007 0.036537 0.054240 0.075855 0.103509
2026-03-01 0.005962 0.012636 0.022244 0.035971 0.054107 0.076407 0.105096
2026-03-08 0.005343 0.011855 0.021435 0.035313 0.053828 0.076758 0.106422
2026-03-15 0.004737 0.011051 0.020555 0.034526 0.053356 0.076847 0.107409
2026-03-22 0.004591 0.011003 0.020774 0.035246 0.054855 0.079410 0.111447